Home Run Kings
The table below describes the number of home runs hit
by Sammy Sosa, Ken Griffey Jr., and Mark McGwire over their career. Which
baseball player has the best chance to break the all time home run record
of 755 by Hank Aaron? Explain your reasoning.
Henry Aaron played for 23 years. I took the current totals for each player and got an average number of HR's per season. I then extended the average over the rest of the 23 year period. Using that method, they'd all break 755 HRs.
Click here to see a table that shows a comparison of HRs by season for Sosa, Griffey, McQwire, and Aaron. (This may take a few seconds to load... )
Will McGwire be able to play that long?
Can we assume that each player will hit the average number of HRs per year they have established up until now?
What other factors could contribute to hitting more or less HRs for each player?